Carlos Condit vs Saygid Izagakhmaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-14-0Record22-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
75"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamAbdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1732 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1742
If they lose-12→ 1718
If they win+12→ 1738
If they lose-12→ 1714
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1699 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlos ConditSaygid Izagakhmaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Saygid Izagakhmaev62%
Carlos Condit 38%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Saygid Izagakhmaev a 62% favorite over Carlos Condit in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carlos Condit's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1730 vs 1726), separated by just 4 points.
Saygid Izagakhmaev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Carlos Condit finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Saygid Izagakhmaev 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.