Carlos Eduardo Rocha vs Kris McCray
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record9-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamIron Army
What's at stake
Kris McCray is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Carlos Eduardo Rocha carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1447
If they lose-10→ 1415
If they win+10→ 1580
If they lose-22→ 1548
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlos Eduardo RochaKris McCray
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kris McCray76%
Carlos Eduardo Rocha 24%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Kris McCray a 76% favorite over Carlos Eduardo Rocha in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Kris McCray holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1570 to 1425, a 145-point edge.
Carlos Eduardo Rocha enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Carlos Eduardo Rocha finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Kris McCray 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.