Carlos Eduardo Rocha vs Mike Pierce
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record17-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1638 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamSports Lab
What's at stake
Mike Pierce is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — Carlos Eduardo Rocha carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1445
If they lose-4→ 1421
If they win+4→ 1719
If they lose-20→ 1695
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carlos Eduardo RochaMike Pierce
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Pierce73%
Carlos Eduardo Rocha 27%Elo baseline: 84%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Pierce a 73% favorite over Carlos Eduardo Rocha in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (84%).
Mike Pierce holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1425, a 290-point edge.
Carlos Eduardo Rocha enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Mike Pierce enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Carlos Eduardo Rocha finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mike Pierce 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.