Carlos Eduardo Rocha vs Samuel Bily
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record0-2-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight174 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1639 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeam
What's at stake
Samuel Bily is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Carlos Eduardo Rocha carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1438
If they lose-11→ 1414
If they win+22→ 1469
If they lose-26→ 1421
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1486 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carlos Eduardo RochaSamuel Bily
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Samuel Bily56%
Carlos Eduardo Rocha 44%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Samuel Bily a 56% favorite over Carlos Eduardo Rocha in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Samuel Bily holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1447 to 1425, a 22-point edge.
Carlos Eduardo Rocha enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Samuel Bily enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Carlos Eduardo Rocha finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.