Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Eduardo Rocha vs Tremaine Jackson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record0-2-0
WelterweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeam

What's at stake

Tremaine Jackson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Carlos Eduardo Rocha carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Carlos Eduardo RochaNow 1432
If they win+13→ 1445
If they lose-11→ 1421
Tremaine JacksonNow 1450
If they win+23→ 1473
If they lose-25→ 1425

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.24
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
34%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.85
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
53%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.39
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Carlos Eduardo RochaTremaine Jackson
145020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (11%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
8 (89%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Tremaine Jackson70%
Carlos Eduardo Rocha 30%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Tremaine Jackson a 70% favorite over Carlos Eduardo Rocha in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Tremaine Jackson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1450 to 1432, a 18-point edge.

Carlos Eduardo Rocha enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Tremaine Jackson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Carlos Eduardo Rocha finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.