Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Felipe vs Josh Appelt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Josh Appelt
us

Josh Appelt

“The Juggernaut”

15-7-0HeavyweightDWCS

1614Solid

Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record15-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height5'10"
75,0"ReachTBD
245 lbsWeight253 lbs
Life MMA· 1593 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos FelipeNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
Josh AppeltNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1610 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.88
Sig. strikes / min
1.35
46%
Strike accuracy
40%
5.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
11.50
51%
Strike defense
33%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
73%
Takedown defense
33%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Carlos FelipeJosh Appelt
1600165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
11 (73%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (13%)
6 (50%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Felipe63%
Josh Appelt 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Felipe a 63% favorite over Josh Appelt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1614), separated by just 0 points.

Carlos Felipe finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Josh Appelt 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.