Carlos Felipe vs Justin Tafa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record7-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
75,0"Reach74"
245 lbsWeight265 lbs
Life MMATeamNTG Fight & Fitness
What's at stake
Carlos Felipe is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Justin Tafa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1642
If they lose-17→ 1610
If they win+17→ 1625
If they lose-15→ 1593
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlos FelipeJustin Tafa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlos Felipe60%
Justin Tafa 40%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Felipe a 60% favorite over Justin Tafa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Carlos Felipe holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1627 to 1608, a 19-point edge.
Justin Tafa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Carlos Felipe finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Justin Tafa 100%.
Carlos Felipe and Justin Tafa share 1 common opponent: Yorgan De Castro.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.