Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Felipe vs Serghei Spivac

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record18-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
75,0"Reach 78"
245 lbsWeight256 lbs
Life MMATeamPolar Bear Team

What's at stake

Serghei Spivac is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Carlos Felipe carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Carlos FelipeNow 1627
If they win+20→ 1647
If they lose-12→ 1615
Serghei SpivacNow 1723
If they win+12→ 1735
If they lose-20→ 1703

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1724 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.88
Sig. strikes / min
3.57
46%
Strike accuracy
48%
5.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.23
51%
Strike defense
52%
0
Takedown avg.
3.82
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
73%
Takedown defense
64%
0
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Carlos FelipeSerghei Spivac
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (39%)
0 (0%)
Submission
8 (44%)
6 (50%)
Decision
3 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Serghei Spivac75%
Carlos Felipe 25%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Serghei Spivac a 75% favorite over Carlos Felipe in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Serghei Spivac holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1627, a 96-point edge.

Carlos Felipe finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Serghei Spivac 83%.

Serghei Spivac carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.