Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Felipe vs Yorgan De Castro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record12-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'1"
75,0"Reach74"
245 lbsWeight265 lbs
Life MMATeamRegiment Training Center

What's at stake

Carlos Felipe is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Yorgan De Castro carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Carlos FelipeNow 1627
If they win+14→ 1641
If they lose-18→ 1609
Yorgan De CastroNow 1582
If they win+18→ 1600
If they lose-14→ 1568

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.88
Sig. strikes / min
2.46
46%
Strike accuracy
44%
5.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.85
51%
Strike defense
54%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
73%
Takedown defense
78%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Carlos FelipeYorgan De Castro
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
9 (75%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (8%)
6 (50%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Felipe73%
Yorgan De Castro 27%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Felipe a 73% favorite over Yorgan De Castro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Carlos Felipe holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1627 to 1582, a 45-point edge.

Carlos Felipe finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Yorgan De Castro 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.