Carlos Hernandez vs Kyohei Takagi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record6-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
67"Reach-
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
VFS AcademyTeamBrave
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
If they win+24→ 1652
If they lose-24→ 1604
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlos HernandezKyohei Takagi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kyohei Takagi60%
Carlos Hernandez 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kyohei Takagi a 60% favorite over Carlos Hernandez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carlos Hernandez's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1628), separated by just 0 points.
Kyohei Takagi enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Carlos Hernandez finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Kyohei Takagi 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.