Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Hernandez vs Mridul Saikia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record9-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
67"Reach68.5"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos HernandezNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
Mridul SaikiaNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.90
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
1.60
Takedown avg.
TBD
21%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
68%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.18
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Carlos HernandezMridul Saikia
1650202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
4 (40%)
Submission
5 (56%)
6 (60%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Mridul Saikia60%
Carlos Hernandez 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mridul Saikia a 60% favorite over Carlos Hernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1631), separated by just 3 points.

Carlos Hernandez finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Mridul Saikia 100%.

Mridul Saikia carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.