Carlos Hernandez vs Victor Altamirano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record12-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
67"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
VFS AcademyTeamDouble Five Mid Cities
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlos HernandezVictor Altamirano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlos Hernandez62%
Victor Altamirano 38%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Hernandez a 62% favorite over Victor Altamirano in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Victor Altamirano's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1636), separated by just 9 points.
Victor Altamirano enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Carlos Hernandez finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Victor Altamirano 50%.
Carlos Hernandez and Victor Altamirano share 1 common opponent: Daniel Barez.
Victor Altamirano carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.