Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Leal vs Chidi Njokuani

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Carlos Leal
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Carlos Leal

“The Lion”

23-7-0WelterweightUFC

1713Good

Tale of the tape

23-7-0Record26-12-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'3"
74"Reach80"
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Thai Brasil· 1661 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamOne Kick's Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos LealNow 1713
If they win+12→ 1725
If they lose-12→ 1701
Chidi NjokuaniNow 1709
If they win+12→ 1721
If they lose-12→ 1697

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1691 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

9.57
Sig. strikes / min
5.16
51%
Strike accuracy
62%
7.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.32
53%
Strike defense
58%
0.75
Takedown avg.
0
25%
Takedown accuracy
0%
90%
Takedown defense
76%
0
Submission avg.
0.14

Trajectory

Carlos LealChidi Njokuani
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (52%)
KO/TKO
15 (58%)
2 (10%)
Submission
1 (4%)
8 (38%)
Decision
10 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Leal55%
Chidi Njokuani 45%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Leal a 55% favorite over Chidi Njokuani in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1713 vs 1709), separated by just 4 points.

Carlos Leal finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Chidi Njokuani 62%.

Chidi Njokuani carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.