Carlos Leal vs Muslim Salikhov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-7-0Record22-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
74"Reach70″
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Thai BrasilTeamFighting Eagle
What's at stake
Muslim Salikhov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Carlos Leal carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1727
If they lose-11→ 1703
If they win+11→ 1756
If they lose-13→ 1732
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1708 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlos LealMuslim Salikhov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlos Leal60%
Muslim Salikhov 40%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Leal a 60% favorite over Muslim Salikhov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Muslim Salikhov's way (46%).
Muslim Salikhov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1745 to 1714, a 31-point edge.
Carlos Leal finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Muslim Salikhov 77%.
Carlos Leal carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.