Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Mota vs Cody Durden

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Cody Durden
us

Cody Durden

“Custom Made”

18-11-1FlyweightUFC

1624Solid

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record18-11-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
69"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Pr1meira FightTeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos MotaNow 1611
If they win+17→ 1628
If they lose-15→ 1596
Cody DurdenNow 1624
If they win+12→ 1636
If they lose-12→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1676 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.80
Sig. strikes / min
3.24
41%
Strike accuracy
45%
1.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.94
54%
Strike defense
51%
0
Takedown avg.
3.99
TBD
Takedown accuracy
10%
50%
Takedown defense
57%
1
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

Carlos MotaCody Durden
1600165017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
6 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (33%)
4 (50%)
Decision
6 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Mota57%
Cody Durden 43%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Mota a 57% favorite over Cody Durden in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cody Durden's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1624), separated by just 13 points.

Carlos Mota finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Cody Durden 67%.

Carlos Mota carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.