Carlos Mota vs Kohei Sugiyama
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record17-10-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
69"Reach-
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Pr1meira FightTeamThe Blackbelt Japan· 1628 avg Elo · 9 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
If they win+12→ 1616
If they lose-12→ 1592
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carlos MotaKohei Sugiyama
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlos Mota53%
Kohei Sugiyama 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Mota a 53% favorite over Kohei Sugiyama in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1604), separated by just 0 points.
Carlos Mota enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kohei Sugiyama enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Carlos Mota finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Kohei Sugiyama 47%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.