Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Newton vs Leon Shahbazyan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-14-0Record12-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'2"
TBDReach77"
174 lbsWeight170 lbs
Warrior MMA Fight TeamTeamGlendale Fighting Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos NewtonNow 1585
If they win+12→ 1597
If they lose-12→ 1573
Leon ShahbazyanNow 1587
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.65
Sig. strikes / min
6.33
41%
Strike accuracy
52%
1.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.18
45%
Strike defense
32%
2.47
Takedown avg.
1.46
71%
Takedown accuracy
50%
44%
Takedown defense
0%
0.90
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Carlos NewtonLeon Shahbazyan
155016002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
10 (63%)
Submission
11 (92%)
4 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Leon Shahbazyan62%
Carlos Newton 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Leon Shahbazyan a 62% favorite over Carlos Newton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1587), separated by just 2 points.

Carlos Newton finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Leon Shahbazyan 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.