Carlos Newton vs Nick Meck
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-14-0Record10-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReach74"
174 lbsWeight170 lbs
Warrior MMA Fight TeamTeamMarathon MMA· 1645 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1596
If they lose-12→ 1572
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carlos NewtonNick Meck
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Carlos Newton and Nick Meck within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1585), separated by just 1 points.
Carlos Newton finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Nick Meck 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.