Carlos Newton vs Pat Miletich
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-14-0Record29-8-2
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
174 lbsWeight169 lbs
Warrior MMA Fight TeamTeamMiletich Martial Arts
What's at stake
Pat Miletich is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Carlos Newton carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1599
If they lose-10→ 1575
If they win+10→ 1658
If they lose-14→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlos NewtonPat Miletich
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Carlos Newton and Pat Miletich within a point of even.
Pat Miletich holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1585, a 63-point edge.
Carlos Newton finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Pat Miletich 79%.
Carlos Newton and Pat Miletich share 3 common opponents: Shonie Carter, Matt Lindland and Renzo Gracie.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.