Carlos Newton vs Pete Spratt
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-14-0Record25-24-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
174 lbsWeight170 lbs
Warrior MMA Fight TeamTeamTeam Spratt
What's at stake
Carlos Newton is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Pete Spratt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1594
If they lose-15→ 1570
If they win+15→ 1498
If they lose-9→ 1474
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlos NewtonPete Spratt
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlos Newton78%
Pete Spratt 22%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Newton a 78% favorite over Pete Spratt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Carlos Newton holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1585 to 1483, a 102-point edge.
Pete Spratt enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Carlos Newton finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Pete Spratt 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.