Carlos Newton vs Takashi Sato
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-14-0Record15-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReach73"
174 lbsWeight170 lbs
Warrior MMA Fight TeamTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1596
If they lose-12→ 1572
If they win+12→ 1596
If they lose-12→ 1572
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carlos NewtonTakashi Sato
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Takashi Sato64%
Carlos Newton 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Takashi Sato a 64% favorite over Carlos Newton in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carlos Newton's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1584), separated by just 0 points.
Takashi Sato enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Carlos Newton finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Takashi Sato 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.