Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Petruzzella vs Kyle Daukaus

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kyle Daukaus
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Kyle Daukaus

“The D'Arce Knight”

17-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1716Good

Tale of the tape

15-1-0Record17-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'3"
73"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos PetruzzellaNow 1715
If they win+16→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1699
Kyle DaukausNow 1716
If they win+16→ 1732
If they lose-16→ 1700

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1494 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.32
TBD
Strike accuracy
53%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
TBD
Strike defense
43%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.08
TBD
Takedown accuracy
26%
TBD
Takedown defense
83%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.08

Trajectory

Carlos PetruzzellaKyle Daukaus
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
2 (12%)
8 (53%)
Submission
12 (71%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Carlos Petruzzella and Kyle Daukaus within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1715 vs 1716), separated by just 1 points.

Carlos Petruzzella enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Carlos Petruzzella finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Daukaus 82%.

Kyle Daukaus carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.