Carlos Petruzzella vs Norbert Novenyi Jr.
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-2-0Record10-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height5'11"
73"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Brothers of Life MMATeamLondon Shootfighters
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676
If they win+16→ 1707
If they lose-16→ 1675
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carlos PetruzzellaNorbert Novenyi Jr.
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Norbert Novenyi Jr.57%
Carlos Petruzzella 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Norbert Novenyi Jr. a 57% favorite over Carlos Petruzzella in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carlos Petruzzella's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1692 vs 1691), separated by just 1 points.
Norbert Novenyi Jr. enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Carlos Petruzzella finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Norbert Novenyi Jr. 90%.
Norbert Novenyi Jr. carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.