Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Prates vs Jack Della Maddalena

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Carlos Prates
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Carlos Prates

“The Nightmare”

24-7-0WelterweightUFC

1785Great

Tale of the tape

24-7-0Record18-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
78″Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos PratesNow 1785
If they win+12→ 1797
If they lose-12→ 1773
Jack Della MaddalenaNow 1777
If they win+16→ 1793
If they lose-16→ 1761

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1708 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1743 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.41
Sig. strikes / min
0
55%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.53
48%
Strike defense
64%
0.18
Takedown avg.
0.16
0%
Takedown accuracy
11%
78%
Takedown defense
69%
0
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Carlos PratesJack Della Maddalena
1650170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

19 (79%)
KO/TKO
12 (67%)
3 (13%)
Submission
2 (11%)
2 (8%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Prates53%
Jack Della Maddalena 47%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Prates a 53% favorite over Jack Della Maddalena in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1785 vs 1777), separated by just 8 points.

Carlos Prates enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Jack Della Maddalena enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Carlos Prates finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Jack Della Maddalena 78%.

Carlos Prates carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.