Carlos Prates vs Jingliang Li
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-7-0Record19-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
78″Reach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Vale Top Team· 1670 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamChina Top Team
What's at stake
Carlos Prates is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jingliang Li carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1797
If they lose-15→ 1773
If they win+15→ 1718
If they lose-9→ 1694
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1708 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1704 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carlos PratesJingliang Li
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlos Prates80%
Jingliang Li 20%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Prates a 80% favorite over Jingliang Li in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Carlos Prates holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1788 to 1703, a 85-point edge.
Carlos Prates enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jingliang Li enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Carlos Prates finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Jingliang Li 74%.
Carlos Prates and Jingliang Li share 1 common opponent: Neil Magny.
Carlos Prates carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.