Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Prates vs Magomed Umalatov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Carlos Prates
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Carlos Prates

“The Nightmare”

24-7-0WelterweightUFC

1784Great

Tale of the tape

24-7-0Record18-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
78″Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Vale Top TeamTeamEagles MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos PratesNow 1784
If they win+12→ 1796
If they lose-12→ 1772
Magomed UmalatovNow 1779
If they win+16→ 1795
If they lose-16→ 1763

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1708 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1629 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.77
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
55%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
48%
Strike defense
TBD
0.21
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
80%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Carlos PratesMagomed Umalatov
16501700175018002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

19 (79%)
KO/TKO
12 (67%)
3 (13%)
Submission
2 (11%)
2 (8%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Prates67%
Magomed Umalatov 33%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Prates a 67% favorite over Magomed Umalatov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1784 vs 1779), separated by just 5 points.

Carlos Prates enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Carlos Prates finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Umalatov 78%.

Carlos Prates carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.