Carlos Prates vs Neil Magny
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-7-0Record32-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'3"
78″Reach80"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Vale Top TeamTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Carlos Prates is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Neil Magny carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1796
If they lose-13→ 1772
If they win+13→ 1781
If they lose-11→ 1757
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1708 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1734 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlos PratesNeil Magny
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlos Prates66%
Neil Magny 34%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Prates a 66% favorite over Neil Magny in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Carlos Prates holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1785 to 1768, a 17-point edge.
Carlos Prates enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Carlos Prates finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 47%.
Carlos Prates and Neil Magny share 1 common opponent: Ian Machado Garry.
Neil Magny carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.