Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Prates vs Rustam Khabilov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Carlos Prates
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Carlos Prates

“The Nightmare”

24-7-0WelterweightUFC

1784Great

Tale of the tape

24-7-0Record24-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'8"
78″Reach40,5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Vale Top TeamTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos PratesNow 1784
If they win+12→ 1796
If they lose-12→ 1772
Rustam KhabilovNow 1785
If they win+12→ 1797
If they lose-12→ 1773

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1708 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1706 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.77
Sig. strikes / min
1.98
55%
Strike accuracy
34%
4.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.16
48%
Strike defense
66%
0.21
Takedown avg.
3.95
100%
Takedown accuracy
42%
80%
Takedown defense
61%
0
Submission avg.
0.09

Trajectory

Carlos PratesRustam Khabilov
16501700175018002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

19 (79%)
KO/TKO
4 (17%)
3 (13%)
Submission
5 (21%)
2 (8%)
Decision
15 (63%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Prates72%
Rustam Khabilov 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Prates a 72% favorite over Rustam Khabilov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rustam Khabilov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1784 vs 1785), separated by just 1 points.

Carlos Prates enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Carlos Prates finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Khabilov 38%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.