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Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Prates vs Rustam Khabilov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Carlos Prates
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Carlos Prates

“The Nightmare”

24-7-0WelterweightUFC

1788Great

Tale of the tape

24-7-0Record24-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'8"
78″Reach40,5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Vale Top Team· 1670 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos PratesNow 1788
If they win+12→ 1800
If they lose-12→ 1776
Rustam KhabilovNow 1788
If they win+12→ 1800
If they lose-12→ 1776

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1708 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1705 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.41
Sig. strikes / min
1.98
55%
Strike accuracy
34%
4.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.16
48%
Strike defense
66%
0.18
Takedown avg.
3.95
0%
Takedown accuracy
42%
78%
Takedown defense
61%
0
Submission avg.
0.09

Trajectory

Carlos PratesRustam Khabilov
16501700175018002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

19 (79%)
KO/TKO
4 (17%)
3 (13%)
Submission
5 (21%)
2 (8%)
Decision
15 (63%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Prates67%
Rustam Khabilov 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Prates a 67% favorite over Rustam Khabilov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1788 vs 1788), separated by just 0 points.

Carlos Prates enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Carlos Prates finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Khabilov 38%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.