Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Soares vs Gino van Steenis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-4-0Record9-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'1"
-Reach74"
147 lbsWeight156 lbs
Gordin Fight TeamTeamMMA Vlaardingen· 1682 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos SoaresNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
Gino van SteenisNow 1629
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Carlos SoaresGino van Steenis
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
7 (44%)
Submission
1 (11%)
5 (31%)
Decision
4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Gino van Steenis59%
Carlos Soares 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gino van Steenis a 59% favorite over Carlos Soares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1629), separated by just 1 points.

Carlos Soares enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Gino van Steenis enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Carlos Soares finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Gino van Steenis 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.