Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Soares vs Gustavo Pintos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-4-0Record10-1-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
-Reach71"
147 lbsWeight146 lbs

What's at stake

Gustavo Pintos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Carlos Soares carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Carlos SoaresNow 1628
If they win+17→ 1645
If they lose-15→ 1613
Gustavo PintosNow 1654
If they win+15→ 1669
If they lose-17→ 1637

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Carlos SoaresGustavo Pintos
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
7 (70%)
7 (44%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (31%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Gustavo Pintos54%
Carlos Soares 46%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Gustavo Pintos a 54% favorite over Carlos Soares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Gustavo Pintos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1654 to 1628, a 26-point edge.

Carlos Soares enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Carlos Soares finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Gustavo Pintos 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.