AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Soares vs Kyle Bochniak

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record11-7-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
-Reach38,5"
147 lbsWeight145 lbs
Gordin Fight TeamTeamBroadway Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos SoaresNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Kyle BochniakNow 1614
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.63
Not available
Strike accuracy
31%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.11
Not available
Strike defense
58%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.14
Not available
Takedown accuracy
15%
Not available
Takedown defense
63%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Carlos SoaresKyle Bochniak
160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
7 (44%)
Submission
2 (18%)
5 (31%)
Decision
7 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyle Bochniak57%
Carlos Soares 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Bochniak a 57% favorite over Carlos Soares in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carlos Soares's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1614), separated by just 1 points.

Kyle Bochniak enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Carlos Soares finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Bochniak 36%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.