Carlos Soares vs Paul Capaldo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record8-1-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
147 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
If they win+24→ 1640
If they lose-24→ 1592
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carlos SoaresPaul Capaldo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlos Soares53%
Paul Capaldo 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Soares a 53% favorite over Paul Capaldo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paul Capaldo's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1616), separated by just 1 points.
Carlos Soares finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Paul Capaldo 43%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.