Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Tardio vs Macksom Lee

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record10-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height6'1"
-Reach75"
140 lbsWeight136 lbs
Team Violencia CECTeamMarkine Fight

What's at stake

Carlos Tardio is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Macksom Lee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Carlos TardioNow 1644
If they win+15→ 1659
If they lose-17→ 1627
Macksom LeeNow 1613
If they win+26→ 1639
If they lose-22→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Carlos TardioMacksom Lee
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
7 (58%)
Submission
4 (44%)
3 (25%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Macksom Lee66%
Carlos Tardio 34%Elo baseline: 46%

The Combat Edge model makes Macksom Lee a 66% favorite over Carlos Tardio in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carlos Tardio's way (46%).

Carlos Tardio holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1644 to 1613, a 31-point edge.

Carlos Tardio finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Macksom Lee 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.