Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Tardio vs Rhys McKee

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rhys McKee
ie

Rhys McKee

“Skeletor”

15-7-1WelterweightPFL

1647Solid

Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record15-7-1
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
-Reach78"
140 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos TardioNow 1644
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1628
Rhys McKeeNow 1647
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.71
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.15
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
48%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Carlos TardioRhys McKee
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
11 (73%)
7 (58%)
Submission
3 (20%)
3 (25%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Carlos Tardio and Rhys McKee within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1644 vs 1647), separated by just 3 points.

Carlos Tardio finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Rhys McKee 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.