Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Ulberg vs Chuck Liddell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Carlos Ulberg
nz

Carlos Ulberg

“Black Jag”

14-1-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1818Great
Chuck Liddell
us

Chuck Liddell

“The Iceman”

21-9-0Light HeavyweightGBP

1827Great

Tale of the tape

14-1-0Record21-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
77"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
City KickboxingTeamThe Pit

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos UlbergNow 1818
If they win+16→ 1834
If they lose-16→ 1802
Chuck LiddellNow 1827
If they win+12→ 1839
If they lose-12→ 1815

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1712 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1731 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.54
Sig. strikes / min
2.97
55%
Strike accuracy
36%
4.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.71
52%
Strike defense
57%
0.55
Takedown avg.
0.44
60%
Takedown accuracy
75%
86%
Takedown defense
81%
0.18
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Carlos UlbergChuck Liddell
17001750180020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
13 (62%)
1 (7%)
Submission
1 (5%)
4 (29%)
Decision
7 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Ulberg75%
Chuck Liddell 25%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Ulberg a 75% favorite over Chuck Liddell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chuck Liddell's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1818 vs 1827), separated by just 9 points.

Carlos Ulberg enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Chuck Liddell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Carlos Ulberg finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Chuck Liddell 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.