Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Ulberg vs Corey Anderson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Carlos Ulberg
nz

Carlos Ulberg

“Black Jag”

14-1-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1818Great

Tale of the tape

14-1-0Record20-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
77"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
City KickboxingTeamThe Kennel Fight Club

What's at stake

Carlos Ulberg is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Corey Anderson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Carlos UlbergNow 1818
If they win+15→ 1833
If they lose-17→ 1801
Corey AndersonNow 1787
If they win+13→ 1800
If they lose-11→ 1776

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1712 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1705 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.54
Sig. strikes / min
4.43
55%
Strike accuracy
46%
4.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.22
52%
Strike defense
59%
0.55
Takedown avg.
4.89
60%
Takedown accuracy
50%
86%
Takedown defense
83%
0.18
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Carlos UlbergCorey Anderson
1700175018002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
9 (45%)
1 (7%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (29%)
Decision
11 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Ulberg66%
Corey Anderson 34%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Ulberg a 66% favorite over Corey Anderson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Carlos Ulberg holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1818 to 1787, a 31-point edge.

Carlos Ulberg enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Corey Anderson enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Carlos Ulberg finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Corey Anderson 45%.

Carlos Ulberg and Corey Anderson share 1 common opponent: Jan Błachowicz.

Corey Anderson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025
Jan Błachowicz
LossKO · 2020