Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Ulberg vs Kennedy Nzechukwu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Carlos Ulberg
nz

Carlos Ulberg

“Black Jag”

14-1-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1818Great

Tale of the tape

14-1-0Record14-7-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'5"
77"Reach83"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
City KickboxingTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

Carlos Ulberg is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Kennedy Nzechukwu carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Carlos UlbergNow 1818
If they win+9→ 1827
If they lose-23→ 1795
Kennedy NzechukwuNow 1667
If they win+23→ 1690
If they lose-9→ 1658

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1712 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.54
Sig. strikes / min
4.96
55%
Strike accuracy
47%
4.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.58
52%
Strike defense
51%
0.55
Takedown avg.
0.50
60%
Takedown accuracy
0%
86%
Takedown defense
80%
0.18
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Carlos UlbergKennedy Nzechukwu
1650170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
10 (71%)
1 (7%)
Submission
1 (7%)
4 (29%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Ulberg78%
Kennedy Nzechukwu 22%Elo baseline: 70%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Ulberg a 78% favorite over Kennedy Nzechukwu in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).

Carlos Ulberg holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1818 to 1667, a 151-point edge.

Carlos Ulberg enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Carlos Ulberg finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Kennedy Nzechukwu 79%.

Kennedy Nzechukwu carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.