Carlos Ulberg vs Magomed Ankalaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
14-1-0Record21-2-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
77"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
City KickboxingTeamGorets Fight Club· 1721 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Magomed Ankalaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Carlos Ulberg carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1835
If they lose-14→ 1803
If they win+14→ 1867
If they lose-18→ 1835
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1713 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1731 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carlos UlbergMagomed Ankalaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Magomed Ankalaev56%
Carlos Ulberg 44%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Ankalaev a 56% favorite over Carlos Ulberg in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Magomed Ankalaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1853 to 1817, a 36-point edge.
Carlos Ulberg enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Carlos Ulberg finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Ankalaev 52%.
Carlos Ulberg and Magomed Ankalaev share 2 common opponents: Jan Błachowicz and Volkan Oezdemir.
Carlos Ulberg carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.