Carlos Ulberg vs Muslim Magomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-1-0Record17-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
77"Reach72"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
City KickboxingTeamAcademy MMA
What's at stake
Carlos Ulberg is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Muslim Magomedov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1832
If they lose-17→ 1800
If they win+17→ 1812
If they lose-15→ 1780
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1713 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carlos UlbergMuslim Magomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlos Ulberg57%
Muslim Magomedov 43%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Ulberg a 57% favorite over Muslim Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Carlos Ulberg holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1817 to 1795, a 22-point edge.
Carlos Ulberg enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Muslim Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Carlos Ulberg finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Muslim Magomedov 53%.
Carlos Ulberg carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.