Carlos Ulberg vs Tafon Nchukwi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-1-0Record7-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
77"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight190 lbs
City KickboxingTeamTeam Lloyd Irvin
What's at stake
Carlos Ulberg is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Tafon Nchukwi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1825
If they lose-25→ 1793
If they win+25→ 1613
If they lose-7→ 1581
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1712 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlos UlbergTafon Nchukwi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlos Ulberg92%
Tafon Nchukwi 8%Elo baseline: 79%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Ulberg a 92% favorite over Tafon Nchukwi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (79%).
Carlos Ulberg holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1818 to 1588, a 230-point edge.
Carlos Ulberg enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Carlos Ulberg finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Tafon Nchukwi 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.