Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlos Vera vs Gugun Gusman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Carlos Vera
ec

Carlos Vera

“Pequeno”

12-4-0BantamweightUFC

1639Solid
Gugun Gusman
id

Gugun Gusman

“The Tiger”

13-4-0BantamweightOPMMA

1638Solid

Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record13-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
69"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
50-50 BJJTeamBandung Fighting Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlos VeraNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
Gugun GusmanNow 1638
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.80
Sig. strikes / min
0.88
48%
Strike accuracy
27%
2.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.18
46%
Strike defense
42%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
33%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Carlos VeraGugun Gusman
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
6 (50%)
Submission
3 (23%)
5 (42%)
Decision
6 (46%)

Combat Edge model read

Gugun Gusman57%
Carlos Vera 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gugun Gusman a 57% favorite over Carlos Vera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carlos Vera's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1638), separated by just 1 points.

Gugun Gusman enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Carlos Vera finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Gugun Gusman 54%.

Carlos Vera and Gugun Gusman share 1 common opponent: Rinya Nakamura.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision - Unanimous · 2024
Rinya Nakamura
Loss Keylock · 2022