Carlos Vera vs Josias Musasa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record8-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
69"Reach74"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
50-50 BJJTeamElite Training Center - Lubumbashi
What's at stake
Carlos Vera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Josias Musasa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1654
If they lose-17→ 1622
If they win+17→ 1636
If they lose-15→ 1604
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlos VeraJosias Musasa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josias Musasa60%
Carlos Vera 40%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Josias Musasa a 60% favorite over Carlos Vera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carlos Vera's way (47%).
Carlos Vera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1639 to 1619, a 20-point edge.
Josias Musasa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Carlos Vera finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Josias Musasa 88%.
Josias Musasa carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.