Combat Edge Intelligence

Carls John De Tomas vs Giovanni Fernandez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record3-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight133 lbs
De Tomas MMATeamPythagore Academy Cognac

What's at stake

Carls John De Tomas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Giovanni Fernandez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Carls John De TomasNow 1452
If they win+22→ 1474
If they lose-26→ 1426
Giovanni FernandezNow 1426
If they win+26→ 1452
If they lose-22→ 1404

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1632 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.74
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
37%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
45%
Strike defense
TBD
1.37
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Carls John De TomasGiovanni Fernandez
145015001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (11%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
4 (44%)
Submission
2 (67%)
4 (44%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Giovanni Fernandez53%
Carls John De Tomas 47%Elo baseline: 46%

The Combat Edge model makes Giovanni Fernandez a 53% favorite over Carls John De Tomas in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carls John De Tomas's way (46%).

Carls John De Tomas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1452 to 1426, a 26-point edge.

Carls John De Tomas enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Giovanni Fernandez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Carls John De Tomas finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Giovanni Fernandez 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.