Carls John De Tomas vs Naoki Inoue
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record21-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'8"
TBDReach71"
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
De Tomas MMATeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Naoki Inoue is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — Carls John De Tomas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+40→ 1493
If they lose-8→ 1445
If they win+4→ 1730
If they lose-20→ 1706
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1632 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carls John De TomasNaoki Inoue
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Naoki Inoue87%
Carls John De Tomas 13%Elo baseline: 83%
The Combat Edge model makes Naoki Inoue a 87% favorite over Carls John De Tomas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (83%).
Naoki Inoue holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1726 to 1453, a 273-point edge.
Carls John De Tomas enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Carls John De Tomas finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Naoki Inoue 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.