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Combat Edge Intelligence

Carls John De Tomas vs Ryusei Ashizawa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record2-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
De Tomas MMATeamFreelance· 1552 avg Elo · 8 rated

What's at stake

Carls John De Tomas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Ryusei Ashizawa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Carls John De TomasNow 1453
If they win+23→ 1476
If they lose-25→ 1428
Ryusei AshizawaNow 1437
If they win+25→ 1462
If they lose-23→ 1414

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1632 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.74
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
37%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
45%
Strike defense
Not available
1.37
Takedown avg.
Not available
33%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
67%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Carls John De TomasRyusei Ashizawa
145015001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (11%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
4 (44%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (44%)
Decision
1 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryusei Ashizawa53%
Carls John De Tomas 47%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryusei Ashizawa a 53% favorite over Carls John De Tomas in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carls John De Tomas's way (48%).

Carls John De Tomas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1453 to 1437, a 16-point edge.

Carls John De Tomas enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ryusei Ashizawa enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Carls John De Tomas finishes 56% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.