Carlston Harris vs Christian Aguilera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record14-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
76"Reach72,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Renovacao Fight TeamTeamTotal MMA Studios
What's at stake
Carlston Harris is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Christian Aguilera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1696
If they lose-20→ 1664
If they win+20→ 1613
If they lose-12→ 1581
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlston HarrisChristian Aguilera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlston Harris70%
Christian Aguilera 30%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlston Harris a 70% favorite over Christian Aguilera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Carlston Harris holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1684 to 1593, a 91-point edge.
Carlston Harris enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Christian Aguilera enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Carlston Harris finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Christian Aguilera 79%.
Carlston Harris carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.