Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlston Harris vs Claude Patrick

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record14-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
76"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Renovacao Fight TeamTeamElite Mixed Fighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlston HarrisNow 1690
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674
Claude PatrickNow 1689
If they win+16→ 1705
If they lose-16→ 1673

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.79
Sig. strikes / min
1.80
44%
Strike accuracy
56%
3.46
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.89
54%
Strike defense
70%
1.46
Takedown avg.
2.32
23%
Takedown accuracy
53%
56%
Takedown defense
84%
0.59
Submission avg.
1.74

Trajectory

Carlston HarrisClaude Patrick
16501700175020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (26%)
KO/TKO
3 (21%)
6 (32%)
Submission
9 (64%)
8 (42%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlston Harris58%
Claude Patrick 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlston Harris a 58% favorite over Claude Patrick in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1690 vs 1689), separated by just 1 points.

Carlston Harris enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Carlston Harris finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Claude Patrick 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.