Carlston Harris vs Geoff Neal
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record16-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
76"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Renovacao Fight TeamTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlston HarrisGeoff Neal
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Geoff Neal59%
Carlston Harris 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Geoff Neal a 59% favorite over Carlston Harris in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1690 vs 1693), separated by just 3 points.
Carlston Harris enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Geoff Neal enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Carlston Harris finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Geoff Neal 75%.
Carlston Harris and Geoff Neal share 2 common opponents: Santiago Ponzinibbio and Shavkat Rakhmonov.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.