Carlston Harris vs Impa Kasanganay
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record20-6-0
WelterweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
76"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight205 lbs
Renovacao Fight TeamTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Impa Kasanganay is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Carlston Harris carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1702
If they lose-14→ 1670
If they win+10→ 1741
If they lose-14→ 1717
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlston HarrisImpa Kasanganay
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Impa Kasanganay71%
Carlston Harris 29%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Impa Kasanganay a 71% favorite over Carlston Harris in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Impa Kasanganay holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1731 to 1684, a 47-point edge.
Carlston Harris enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Impa Kasanganay enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Carlston Harris finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Impa Kasanganay 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.