Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlston Harris vs Impa Kasanganay

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record20-7-0
WelterweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
76"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight205 lbs
Renovacao Fight TeamTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Impa Kasanganay is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Carlston Harris carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Carlston HarrisNow 1690
If they win+17→ 1707
If they lose-15→ 1675
Impa KasanganayNow 1720
If they win+11→ 1731
If they lose-13→ 1707

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.79
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.46
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
1.46
Takedown avg.
TBD
23%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
56%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.59
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Carlston HarrisImpa Kasanganay
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (26%)
KO/TKO
8 (40%)
6 (32%)
Submission
3 (15%)
8 (42%)
Decision
9 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Impa Kasanganay66%
Carlston Harris 34%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Impa Kasanganay a 66% favorite over Carlston Harris in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Impa Kasanganay holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1690, a 30-point edge.

Carlston Harris enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Carlston Harris finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Impa Kasanganay 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.