Carlston Harris vs Jared Gooden
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record23-12-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'4"
76"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Renovacao Fight TeamTeamX3 Sports
What's at stake
Carlston Harris is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Jared Gooden carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1697
If they lose-19→ 1665
If they win+14→ 1642
If they lose-10→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlston HarrisJared Gooden
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlston Harris53%
Jared Gooden 47%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlston Harris a 53% favorite over Jared Gooden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Carlston Harris holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1684 to 1628, a 56-point edge.
Carlston Harris enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jared Gooden enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Carlston Harris finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Jared Gooden 78%.
Carlston Harris and Jared Gooden share 1 common opponent: Impa Kasanganay.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.